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  1. Understanding population size and trend is critical information in species management and conservation. To enable accurate population trend estimates, consistent robust monitoring of a species is essential, particularly for a species such as the New Zealand (NZ) sea lion, Phocarctos hookeri , which has experienced an almost continuous decline in pup production since the late 1990s.
  2. This research examines the pup production estimates for all known breeding sites for this species, and using a stage‐structured matrix population model, estimates population size and trend between 1995 and 2015.
  3. Overall, it is estimated that 2,316 pups were born in 2015, a decrease of 13% since 1995 and a 27% decline since the highest pup production estimate in 1998. This decline has been driven by the significant decline of 48% at the main breeding area, the Auckland Islands since 1998.
  4. Using the stage‐structured matrix population model a total species population size of 11,767 sea lions (95% CrI: 10,790–12,923) was estimated. This is the lowest population size of any sea lion species. Trend data for the Auckland Islands indicated that pup and population numbers have decreased at 1.9% yr?1 in the last 20 yr, while total species population decline is 0.6% yr?1.
  5. Estimates of population trends for this species have been hindered by inconsistent monitoring at most breeding sites. This study strengthens the growing field of research highlighting the need for consistent long‐term monitoring for the conservation management of endangered species.
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The amount of variance captured in genetic estimations may depend on whether a pedigree‐based or genomic relationship matrix is used. The purpose of this study was to investigate the genetic variance as well as the variance of predicted genetic merits (PGM) using pedigree‐based or genomic relationship matrices in Brown Swiss cattle. We examined a range of traits in six populations amounting to 173 population‐trait combinations. A main aim was to determine how using different relationship matrices affect variance estimation. We calculated ratios between different types of estimates and analysed the impact of trait heritability and population size. The genetic variances estimated by REML using a genomic relationship matrix were always smaller than the variances that were similarly estimated using a pedigree‐based relationship matrix. The variances from the genomic relationship matrix became closer to estimates from a pedigree relationship matrix as heritability and population size increased. In contrast, variances of predicted genetic merits obtained using a genomic relationship matrix were mostly larger than variances of genetic merit predicted using pedigree‐based relationship matrix. The ratio of the genomic to pedigree‐based PGM variances decreased as heritability and population size rose. The increased variance among predicted genetic merits is important for animal breeding because this is one of the factors influencing genetic progress.  相似文献   
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The degree of linkage disequilibrium (LD) between markers differs depending on the location of the genome; this difference biases genetic evaluation by genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP). To correct this bias, we used three GBLUP methods reflecting the degree of LD (GBLUP‐LD). In the three GBLUP‐LD methods, genomic relationship matrices were conducted from single nucleotide polymorphism markers weighted according to local LD levels. The predictive abilities of GBLUP‐LD were investigated by estimating variance components and assessing the accuracies of estimated breeding values using simulation data. When quantitative trait loci (QTL) were located at weak LD regions, the predictive abilities of the three GBLUP‐LD methods were superior to those of GBLUP and Bayesian lasso except when the number of QTL was small. In particular, the superiority of GBLUP‐LD increased with decreasing trait heritability. The rates of QTL at weak LD regions would increase when selection by GBLUP continues; this consequently decreases the predictive ability of GBLUP. Thus, the GBLUP‐LD could be applicable for populations selected by GBLUP for a long time. However, if QTL were located at strong LD regions, the accuracies of three GBLUP‐LD methods were lower than GBLUP and Bayesian lasso.  相似文献   
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针对六自由度并联机构的正向运动学无全解析解或全解析解推导困难、不便于程式化、存在多解选择的现状,提出一种含混合单开链支路的12-6台体型Stewart冗余并联机构,推导了适用于实时反馈控制的正向运动学全解析算法。通过单开链的方位特征集运算及路线分解,对机构的拓扑构型进行了剖析,并解算了耦合度,为运动学方程的构造及同构处理指明了方向。基于动平台上4个共面特征点的拓扑关系,对15个二次相容方程进行同构运算,推导了12个一次多项式,得到正向位姿方程的全解析解,具有形式简洁、对称,且根能够唯一确定的特点。根据速度基点法,建立特征点速度之间的矢量关系,解决了机构的速度正解问题。结合杆长协调方程及速度映射方程,并运用Jacobian代数法解析出机构的3组奇异曲面方程。实验结果表明,位姿正解的计算值与测量值完全一致,速度正解的最大相对误差为0.08%,它们的效率指标值分别为0.21和0.32,均满足实时性要求。  相似文献   
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滴灌控制土壤基质势对土壤水分分布和苜蓿生长的影响   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
采用在滴头正下20 cm深度处埋设负压计,分别设置-15、-25和-35 k Pa的土壤基质势控制滴灌,通过田间试验,研究了不同土壤基质势下土壤水分变化特点和紫花苜蓿的生长特性,分析了蒸发、降雨和灌水与土壤基质势之间的关系。从土壤剖面水分分布来看,整个生育期内-15 k Pa处理下的土壤剖面含水率整体集中在14%~15%,较-25和-35 k Pa处理的更为均匀,水分密集区域距离滴头最近;-15 k Pa处理下苜蓿株高达到41.7 cm,盖度为15.3%,生物量值达到了281.29 g/m~2,在所有处理中均为最高。  相似文献   
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Water resource allocation was defined as an input-output question in this paper, and a preliminary input-output index system was set up. Then GEM (group eigenvalue method)-MAUE (multi-attribute utility theory) model was applied to evaluate relative efficiency of water resource allocation plans. This model determined weights of indicators by GEM, and assessed the allocation schemes by MAUE. Compared with DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis) or ANN (Artificial Neural Networks), the mode was more applicable in some cases where decision-makers had preference for certain indicators  相似文献   
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[目的]本研究主要目的是探索海藻酸钠细菌颗粒生物肥最佳基材配方,对此种生物肥在贮存及应用中的性质及土壤中降解特性进行研究。[方法]生物肥最佳包埋基材的筛选,细菌计数法研究生物肥在4℃和室温条件下贮存时细菌活性的变化情况,通过生物肥直径变化研究其在土壤中的生物降解情况。[结果]研究表明,基材配方为1.5%海藻酸钠+0.5%大米粉的生物肥,能够达到最佳构形及最高细菌活性,与未加入大米粉的1.5%纯海藻酸盐基材相比,细菌包含率最高,为112.3%,且在贮存过程中能够保持细菌的高活性。此生物肥埋在土壤中3 cm深时降解最快,11 d可完全降解。[结论]获得一种低成本、实用、高效的生物肥,基材最佳配方为1.5%海藻酸钠+0.5%大米粉。  相似文献   
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